分类： ee

　　Beijing, August 14th (Reporter Li Jinlei) On August 14th, the National Bureau of Statistics released the economic data of China in July. How did China’s economy start in the second half of the year? Is the price of pork still rising? Is there enough food stock?

　　Let’s look at the performance of the "troika" of consumption, export and investment.

　　Changsha’s "night economy" has gradually recovered. Citizens travel and taste delicious food on summer nights. Photo by Yang Huafeng

　　The growth rate of commodity retail sales changed from negative to positive for the first time in the year.

　　With the return of fireworks, "buy buy Buy" is also speeding up.

　　According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, the market sales continued to pick up in July, with retail sales of 2,892 billion yuan, the growth rate turned from negative to positive for the first time in the year, with an increase of 0.2%.

　　Online retailing continues to improve. From January to July, the national online retail sales reached 6,078.5 billion yuan, up 9.0% year-on-year, 1.7 percentage points faster than that in January-June.

　　Export growth rate reached double digits.

　　Data show that in July, the total import and export volume of goods was 2,927 billion yuan, up 6.5% year-on-year. Among them, exports were 1,684.6 billion yuan, an increase of 10.4%; Imports reached 1,242.4 billion yuan, up by 1.6%.

　　The export growth rate in July not only set a record since the outbreak of the epidemic, but also was much higher than other major economies in the world, and it was also the highest since March last year.

　　Fu Linghui, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics, analyzed that foreign trade was better than expected in July, and exports achieved positive growth for four consecutive months, because China’s economic resilience and potential were huge, and its adjustment and adaptability were relatively strong. A series of policies to support foreign trade stability would play a positive role in stabilizing and expanding exports of foreign trade enterprises. Moreover, China has a complete industrial system, strong supporting capacity, strong ability to adjust and adapt to external changes, and the export of anti-epidemic materials plays a pulling role.

　　The picture shows Haikou xiuying port Container Terminal. Luo Yunfei

　　The decline in investment continued to narrow.

　　The data shows that from January to July, the national investment in fixed assets (excluding farmers) was 32,921.4 billion yuan, down 1.6% year-on-year, and the decline rate was 1.5 percentage points narrower than that in January-June; In July, the chain increased by 4.85%.

　　Let’s look at the performance of two livelihood indicators: price and employment.

　　Pork prices rose by 85.7%

　　In July, the national consumer price rose by 2.7% year-on-year, an increase of 0.2 percentage points over that in June.

　　Among the food, tobacco and alcohol prices, pork rose by 85.7%, fresh vegetables by 7.9%, grain by 1.6% and fresh fruit by 27.7%.

　　Data map: Supermarket employees are sorting out pork. Photo by Zhang Yun

　　It can be seen that the price increase of "Second Brother" is still high.

　　The price of pork once fell back, why did it rebound again? Fu Linghui said that pork prices have risen. First, with the resumption of production, catering services have gradually recovered and pork demand has expanded; Second, the flood in the south in July had some adverse effects on pig production and transportation.

　　Regarding the trend of pork prices, Fu Linghui said that from the survey, the number of live pigs is increasing quarter by quarter, but from the supply situation, the production and supply of live pigs are still in a tight balance, and the high price will last for some time. Generally speaking, it is unlikely that pork prices will rise sharply.

　　Grain stocks are relatively sufficient.

　　Regarding the grain price that everyone cares about, Fu Linghui said that China’s grain production has been stable at more than 1.3 trillion Jin for five consecutive years, and at present, the grain stock is relatively sufficient. This year’s summer grain harvest has also reached a record high, and the output of summer grain has increased by 0.9% over the previous year.

　　Fu Linghui said that overall, agricultural investment has gradually increased in recent years, and there is still a good foundation for food stability. It is basic and conditional for food prices to remain stable throughout the year.

　　Data map: In the wheat harvest season, the wheat waves are rolling everywhere. Photo by Liu Hao Chen Jie

　　The employment situation is generally stable.

　　Employment is the foundation of people’s livelihood. Data show that from January to July, 6.71 million new jobs were created in cities and towns nationwide, an increase of 1.96 million less than that in the same period of last year.

　　In July, the national urban survey unemployment rate was 5.7%, the same as in June; Among them, the unemployment rate of the population aged 25-59 was 5.0%, down by 0.2 percentage points; However, the unemployment rate in the youth population survey has increased.

　　Fu Linghui reminded that the number of college graduates reached 8.74 million this year, a record high. In July, with the concentration of college students entering the labor market, they are 20 years old — The unemployment rate of people aged 24 and above (mainly newly graduated college students) is rising, which is 3.3 percentage points higher than that of the same period last year. We should attach great importance to the pressure of these key groups.

　　Zhang Jinan, Minister of Human Resources and Social Security, recently pointed out that in the second half of the year, college graduates will continue to be encouraged to expand the scale of enterprise absorption, expand the scale of grassroots employment, expand the scale of further studies, and expand the scale of training and internship. (End)

There are fists all over your body, hitting you wherever you are.

India’s stock market is caste-based, and people are forced to eat by releasing water.

Today, Master He won’t talk about China, but about our old neighbor, India.

As the first stop of China’s mobile phone going to sea, we all know that domestic brands have set up branches in India, and a friend of CSI sells a domestic brand mobile phone in India.

Mobile phone brands competing in India Image source: CBN

Looking at the shocking epidemic cases in India in his circle of friends every day, CSI asked curiously, can business still be done in this environment now?

My friend sighed, because it is impossible to open up new channels because of the epidemic. The biggest problem of existing channel sales is that logistics is not smooth, and it is really difficult to complete KPI.

Csi quipped: Looking at this posture, it is estimated that there is no chance of promotion and salary increase this year.

However, my buddy seems to be able to shrug off, saying that he lost the mulberry in the east corner and took advantage of the epidemic to make some money by investing in the Indian stock market, which is also a subsidy for his family.

Csi was surprised that the Indian epidemic was so severe that the stock market could still rise.

After a curious inquiry, Lao He found that what he said was true. Both India’s SENSEX index (equivalent to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300) and India’s NIFTY50 index (equivalent to the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50) not only hit new highs, but also doubled compared with the epidemic low.

Today, CSI: Why is the Indian stock market so hot?

01

Water release is fiercer than in the United States, and Indian banks dance.

In the face of the fact that India’s stock market has hit record highs, CSI is still full of doubts. The epidemic has hit all walks of life hard. Not to mention the initial outbreak of the epidemic last year, until the recent paralysis of India’s textile industry, there are frequent reports that the Indian epidemic has affected the global shipping market. The current situation in India is in stark contrast to China’s rapid resumption of work and production.

Image source: Oriental IC

Combined with the global experience, none of the most favorable stocks, vaccine research and development, home office, and Internet giant India are touched. As for the manufacturers of gloves, masks, ventilators and other protective products, if India can produce enough of them, why do you need a dead duck to shut up and say that it is a commercial act while holding China’s aid?

What is more serious is that the number of confirmed cases in India is still as high as 100,000 every day, with 160,000 deaths in the past two months. In the past year, 100 million Indians lost their jobs, and in April this year alone, more than 7.3 million people in India lost their jobs.

Some readers here will be curious, who is the biggest star stock in Indian stock market? The answer is banking stocks.

At the beginning of the global outbreak on March 23 last year, the Indian stock index once fell by more than 10%, and the Bank of India immediately couldn’t sit still.

In just one week, the Bank of India cut interest rates by 75 basis points to 4.4%, and all banks lowered their RRR by 100 basis points to 3%. At the same time, it carried out a combined boxing rescue measure of 1 trillion rupees of QE.

India’s water release this time is not fierce. The amount of water released at a time is as high as 3.2% of GDP. Compared with Biden’s 1.9 trillion infrastructure plan, although the total amount accounts for 10% of GDP in that year, the plan will be completed in eight years, and it will cost 1.25% of GDP every year. What’s more, it is hard to say whether it can actually be spent that much.

India completely ignored these, and completed the great cause of catching up with the beauty of the Premier League in one day.

Compared with the intuitive performance that interest rate reduction means that the loan interest rate drops to reduce the burden on enterprises, RRR reduction may be a relatively unfamiliar vocabulary for many readers. Here is a simple science popularization.

The "quasi" in the RRR cut refers to the deposit reserve, which represents the proportion that banks need to deposit in the central bank to absorb deposits. The higher the reserve ratio, the less money banks can lend.

Therefore, the RRR cut means that banks can lend more, which is a policy tool to encourage banks to lend to support the economy.

Generally speaking, the RRR cut is a great positive for the stock market, and it is also true for the Indian stock market.

Compared with China’s deposit reserve ratio of 12.5% and India’s deposit reserve ratio of 3%, it is 76% lower. As you can imagine, Indian banks will be more open than China banks if they want to lend. As for whether they can really lend or not, investors don’t care about these things at present.

Driven by favorable conditions, Indian bank stocks began their respective rising shows.

State bank of india SBI, the largest in India, is about equal to the Industrial and Commercial Bank of India. Since the low point of the epidemic, it has increased by nearly three times, and the increase so far this year is as high as 55%. It can be said that elephants can dance.

As the second largest bank in India, ICICI, an Indian industrial credit investment bank, is mainly responsible for lending to the private sector because of its private enterprise nature. Although the private enterprises in India are bleak, it does not prevent its share price from doubling. This year, ICICI also rose by 55% compared with state bank of india and Qi Fei.

02

High-caste stocks are full, and low-caste stocks are like grass.

So are there any star stocks besides bank stocks in India?

Of course, both Tata Motors, Indian oil and gas company and Bajaj Finserv, India’s largest loan supermarket, were enthusiastically sought after by investors during the epidemic, and they also had a unified name-large-cap stocks.

Here is about the composition of Indian constituent stocks.

Among the constituent stocks of Indian stock market, banking and financial services account for the largest weight, accounting for 35.03%; Followed by energy (13.04%), IT(11.6%), consumer goods (11.17%) and automobile industry (11.02%). The weights of industries such as medicine, metals and telecommunications are all below 5%.

Is this structure very inconsistent? India’s pillar industries are not generic drugs, IT and consumer products, but banking and financial services.

Csi suddenly realized that it is no wonder that India has not set up a complete industrial system so far. It used to learn that American industry made a mistake and finance prospered the country.

Therefore, even if the operating rate of Indian pharmaceutical manufacturers is only less than 30%, India’s clothing exports have dropped by 20%. In the case that banking stocks account for one-third of the weight, as long as they keep rising, the life and death of the remaining 5,000 small and medium-sized listed companies in India’s stock market will be unknown.

So why are Indian investors so enthusiastic about large-cap stocks? The answer lies in the institutional setting of Indian stock market.

Although India implements the registration system, the Indian Securities Regulatory Commission will not restrict the companies to be listed, but India has a magical operation. If you want to go public, you need to go to the officially designated rating company for stock rating and disclosure before you can go public.

National Stock Exchange of India

At first glance, there seems to be nothing wrong with it. China also needs to be rated when issuing bonds.

But if you think about it carefully, doesn’t this so-called designated agency represent the official opinion? In other words, when a company goes public, the official gives you a rating. If it can get 3A, it will naturally be sought after. If the rating is average, I’m afraid no one cares.

If you want to stand out among thousands of listed companies in India, if you don’t get a good rating, you will basically die at the starting point.

To put it bluntly, even the stock market in India is a "caste system"! Whether the stock is good or not is decided on the day of birth!

India-100 million people and 1.3 billion "cattle"

("Cattle" is a sympathetic expression of netizens.

Used to describe the actual living conditions of the people at the bottom of India)

However, these component companies have a great career, and their ratings will naturally not be worse. Newly listed companies are basically difficult to compete with them, and they will only divert companies with the same poor ratings. These companies with average qualifications can only accelerate the involution, resulting in their stock performance being even worse, and no one cares. Investors look at the investment in small-cap stocks and naturally switch to component stocks, forming a situation in which the strong will remain strong.

03

Predators cut leeks and run away, while retail investors are basically dead.

So the Indian stock market is hot, have the people got a piece of it? The answer is no!

According to the data released by the Indian Stock Exchange in 2018, there are only over 2 million Indian investors, and the latest investor data predicted by American investment banks is less than 3 million, even less than three thousandths of the population.

3 million! Maybe there are not as many investors as there are in Shenzhen. It’s ridiculous, okay!

In fact, it is not difficult to understand that 90% of India’s transactions are in cash, and it is not surprising that 99.7% of Indians are not shareholders.

Indian people queuing for money Image source: People’s Daily

Therefore, Indians who can afford to speculate in stocks are basically so-called people, not big capitalists or executives under capitalists.

Instead of doing business well, it is better to take advantage of the epidemic to sell badly, let the government throw money, speculate on the stock price, and make money. Private jets run for refuge in the beautiful world of Britain and the United States, which cares about the lives of ordinary people.

Compared with the stock market earning 250,000 yuan for a plane ticket, the price of 900,000 yuan for a charter flight is not worth mentioning for the rich in India. For example, Adal Bonavara, CEO of India Serum Research Institute, India’s largest vaccine manufacturer, fled directly by private jet.

Adal Ponavara

The ordinary people in India, even the poor stock market leek, are not qualified to be, and they are directly ignored by capitalists and left to fend for themselves.

Since the capitalists are rich and heartless, what is the Indian government doing?

As one of Trump’s best friends in the international community, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) led by Indian Prime Minister Mordech pretends to represent the interests of the people. From its name, it can be seen that it is in sharp contrast to the Indian National Congress Party, which represents the elite of the Indian establishment.

But in fact, Modi, as a political veteran, is no different from his colleagues in the Congress Party in kneeling on capitalists.

Compared with Trump, at least he really built the border wall. Modi is a complete hypocrite.

After rejecting the RECP agreement, Modi launched a 2 trillion fiscal stimulus plan in response to the epidemic, trying to promote economic recovery by supporting large enterprises to become bigger and stronger.

Boy, the epidemic situation is like this. I don’t want to save ordinary people, but I also subsidize big enterprises.

It is no wonder that the share prices of those constituent stocks have been rising like chicken blood this year. After all, they are the key targets of government support!

04

tag

It can be seen that India is worthy of being a pro-son of Europe and America with national characteristics.

On the one hand, the stock market is rising every day, the market value is soaring, and the small stocks are bleak. I have learned enough about the endogenous logic of financial capital.

On the other hand, India has carried forward its own caste system tradition and directly put a stamp on the stock butt. There is nothing we can do about it, because the gap between the rich and the poor in India is so great that even leeks are barren, so we can only rely on involution to "cut in the middle".

Although India is now enjoying a boom, the Indian government’s fiscal deficit has reached 9.3% of GDP, and the epidemic situation in India has not been effectively controlled. The high valuation brought by the economic recovery advocated by the stock market is only the entertainment of 0.2% people. However, if India continues like this, how long can the myth of the stock market last?

Source | Where does Tiequan strike (ID: tiequanhe)

Original title: "Indian stock market takes off, Indian investors lie flat"

Read the original text

　　Under the guise of "Central" and "National", a website named "Media Network under the Rule of Law" made money everywhere from 2013 to 2016 by promoting and opening sub-channels for government agencies. In the webpage, it advertised itself as the host of "Central Social Management Innovation Research Center" and promoted it. The center committed fraud on the grounds of preparation. In the end, the people involved were arrested by the Sichuan police in many places across the country. In March 2018, the second-instance judgments of the four suspects involved in the case came into effect.

　　A person from the Network Security Bureau of the Ministry of Public Security said that behind the wanton rampage of fake institutions and websites are loopholes in website management, while ordinary people lack channels to distinguish authenticity when faced with fake high-level institutions and officials. Chengdu Business Daily-Red Star Journalist Lu Wangyi

　　Counterfeiting the website of the central organization was investigated and six government departments in Sichuan were cheated.

　　Until now, Deng Liangwei still believes that he is promoting positive energy and has done nothing wrong. On December 13, 2018, at the Chengdu Detention Center, the former prison investigator was somewhat poor in the face of the fact that he ran a website posing as a central institution to commit fraud.

　　In November 2013, she registered a website named "Rule of Law Media Network" in Beijing, which was founded by Liangzhiwei (Beijing) Culture Media Co., Ltd. Through the evidence provided by the police, the reporter found that the website has 21 sections, including comprehensive news, legal system construction, political and legal front, quality and safety, and several local channels. The website claims that the purpose of the website is to "publicize the changing Socialism with Chinese characteristics system, publicize the policy of comprehensively deepening reform, enhance the awareness of the rule of law of the whole people, enhance the concept of the rule of law of the whole people, and carry forward the culture of the rule of law in China". Part of the articles published on this website come from news and editorials published by domestic mainstream media such as Xinhuanet.

　　In the "About Us" column of the website’s self-introduction, it is indicated that the website is in charge of the "Central Social Management Innovation Research Center" under a central institution.

　　For more than three years, Deng Liang collected more than 200,000 yuan from six government departments in Sichuan under the banner of many central organizations to help introduce legal publicity on the "rule of law media network". At the same time, it also signed a cooperation agreement with others on the grounds of opening a sub-channel of "Rule of Law Media Network", promising the other party to manage "Rule of Law Media Network", "Guangdong Channel", "Hubei Channel" and "Hunan Channel" respectively, and defrauded the deposit of 100,000 yuan per person.

　　In April 2016, according to the arrangement of the Ministry of Public Security to rectify the illegal activities of illegal organizations and fake websites, the Netan detachment of Chengdu Public Security Bureau received a clue from the Netan Corps of Sichuan Provincial Public Security Bureau, and the "Rule of Law Media Network" carried out illegal and criminal activities under the name of the Central Social Management Innovation Research Center (to be established), a subordinate unit of a central institution (hereinafter referred to as the "Center", a fictional unit). After investigation, the public security organ closed the website in April 2016 according to law.

　　Behind the website, a false central organization is drawn.

　　In the past three years, the "rule of law media network" has been popular everywhere under the name of "Central Social Management Innovation Research Center (chips)". The police found out that there is no "Central Social Management Innovation Research Center" in the country at present, so where did the center come from?

　　According to the police investigating the case, at the beginning of 2013, He Juncheng, Chu Zhiyong, Weng Yingbin and others in Shenzhen, Guangdong, established the Central Social Management Innovation Research Center (to be established) in an office building in Beijing, and anchored it in an office called China-Africa Jincheng Co., Ltd.

　　In fact, the "center" has not been approved and put on record by any legal organization, but has privately produced a large number of certificates of the "Central Social Management Innovation Research Center" and distributed them to illegally recruited staff in various places, with counterfeit administrative grades of state organ staff, such as "inspector", "researcher" and "director".

　　Externally, the "center" lied that it was directly managed by a state agency at the initial stage of preparation, and its office was located in Zhongnanhai. The person in charge was a leader of the central government, and the criminal suspect Weng Yingbin and others were recruited. The two swindled and swindled in the name of central institutions and state leaders.

　　The review found that the so-called "center" was not officially listed or appointed by a formal organization, but relied on an office called "China-Africa Jincheng Co., Ltd." with a team of people running both the "company" and the "center", and the relevant personnel of the "center" all held privately printed certificates marked "center" anti-corruption investigation room and major case investigation room, and the certificates also indicated the personnel.

　　In 2015, Chen Mou, a Shanghai builder, was introduced to Chu Zhiyong, who claimed to be the leader of the Central Social Management Innovation Research Center. "Chu Zhiyong said that the Central Social Management Innovation Research Center is under construction, and He Juncheng, the secretary of a national leader, is the head. The renovation of the center office needs to raise funds from the society. If I can contribute to help, I can be responsible for the center ‘ Shanghai Branch ’ The preparation and management work, and obtain ‘ Central Social Management Innovation Research Center ’ The official preparation. " Recalling the original experience, Chen Mou felt incredible. Only after checking Chu Zhiyong’s "work certificate", he remitted RMB 5 million to the private account of the "central leader" and signed a voluntary donation.

　　"Chengye website is defeated by Yee website"

　　The combination of "rule of law media network" and "central social management innovation research center" is to get what they need. In the view of Liu Chang, deputy head of the Fourth Brigade of the Network Security Detachment of Chengdu Public Security Bureau, Chengye’s website failed, "If there is no one on the website ‘ About us ’ I don’t know when this case will be broken. "

　　At the beginning of 2014, Deng Liang met Chu Zhiyong, who claimed to be the deputy secretary-general of the Central Social Management Innovation Research Center (to be established). After Chu Zhiyong reported to He Juncheng, he got the "approval" signed by Chu Zhiyong that the "rule of law media network" belonged to the Central Social Management Innovation Research Center, and was appointed as the deputy director of the network management department of the center’s anti-corruption research office. From then on, he declared that the "rule of law media network" was ". Borrow the background of the central government to carry out activities such as "legal publicity", collect money everywhere by issuing self-made news interview cards and opening local channels on websites, and collect money in the name of "Liangzhiwei (Beijing) Culture Media Co., Ltd.".

　　At the same time, the "Central Social Management Innovation Research Center (to be established)" also packages itself through the "rule of law media network" to whitewash its false identity. "People in the center will make others believe it through self-introduction on the website." Liu Chang told reporters that in this case, the other party added a word "chip" after the "Central Social Management Innovation Research Center", which brought a little confusion to handling the case and collecting evidence. "Because there are many seals and certificates in the units under construction, even in the departments under construction, there are instructions and approvals from relevant leaders, including letters submitted to higher authorities."

　　"In front of He Juncheng, when we flashed the police documents, the other party also flashed the so-called ‘ Central Social Management Innovation Research Center (to be established) ’ The documents of the leaders also let us come out to follow them and introduce me to the project. " Liu Chang said. The "center" is eager to publicize its identity through the website, so it lets the website use the name of the central organization or even the leader in the "About Us" column.

　　In April, 2016, Sichuan police arrested four major suspects, including Deng Liangwei, in Chengdu, and seized the seals involved, the steel seal machine and the privately printed Press Work Permit (blank) of 300 Yu Ben. In the following two months, Chu Zhiyong, Weng Yingbin and He Juncheng were arrested by the police in Beijing and Shenzhen respectively.

　　On March 30, 2018, the Qingyang District People’s Court in Chengdu, Sichuan Province heard the case and sentenced four defendants, including He Juncheng, Chu Zhiyong, Deng Liangwei and Weng Yingbin, to fixed-term imprisonment and fines.

　　status

　　Online fraud lacks channels to verify the authenticity of websites.

　　According to the relevant personnel of the Ministry of Public Security, a large number of websites, online groups and online accounts with titles such as "Central", "China" and "National" once appeared on the Internet in China, most of which have nothing to do with legal organizations such as central state organs and national social organizations. The contents published by these websites and online accounts are mixed, and it is difficult to distinguish between true and false, which easily confuses netizens. Some websites and online accounts also carry out fraud, extortion and other illegal and criminal activities under the banner of the central and state organs. "The pattern of crime in internet plus is the most common," said a person engaged in network security.

　　Xiao Mou, the manager of a science and technology system company in Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, met with the "leader of the center" for the first time at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing. He said that Lu claimed to be the nephew of the former national leader, and said that the "Central Social Management Innovation Research Center" under construction was a ministerial-level unit, with a national leader as the highest responsible person and He Juncheng, the secretary of the former national leader.

　　Subsequently, a school checked the other party’s "work permit" and inquired about the relevant information of the "Central Social Management Innovation Research Center" and its personnel through the "Rule of Law Media Network", and was convinced of the center. After learning that the center needed funds to donate in the preparatory stage, a school generously invested 5 million yuan to seek a part-time job in the "center".

　　A staff member of a government department in Sichuan who paid the publicity fee to the "rule of law media network" revealed to reporters that it is difficult to tell the truth from the other party’s documents and websites. Since the website is open and still under the banner of the central government, they feel that it can play a publicity role.

　　For ordinary people and grass-roots government departments, there is a lack of effective verification channels in the face of those who claim to be central-level institutions. "You check online, can you find the phone number of the central institution? There is nothing we can do. " A policeman from the Netan detachment of Chengdu Public Security Bureau said helplessly.

　　Reporters searched the Internet for the information of several central-level institutions, but they couldn’t find their telephone numbers. At the same time, there were many posts asking about these telephones trying to verify or report things.

　　suggestion

　　Establish a website reference database to clean up websites that are not worthy of the name.

　　An industry insider told reporters that there are currently more than 5 million "running" websites in China, and there is a phenomenon that a large number of registered domain names do not match the actual names of websites, but this phenomenon has been neglected and has not been improved for a long time.

　　According to the relevant personnel of the Ministry of Public Security, after combing the relevant network groups and accounts, it is found that from the way of account counterfeiting, the photos of leaders and staff of state organs are mainly used as avatars, the names of central institutions are used as nicknames, and the introduction of central institutions is used as personal descriptions of accounts. The identity background of the personnel is mainly students, migrant workers, disabled people, unemployed youth and retired soldiers.

　　The relevant personnel of the Ministry of Public Security suggested that in order for people to check the authenticity of a website, an authoritative database must be established for everyone to check at any time, and at the same time, existing websites should be cleaned up and websites with inconsistent domain names and actual names should be closed.

　　Traveling to Bali is essential for tasting local food. But choosing a good place to stay is the first priority in Bali. So how do you choose a hotel in Bali?

　　Bali has a tropical island climate, which is hot all the year round. The annual average temperature is about 28℃, with rainy season from October to March and dry season at other times. Considering the weather, the dry season (April-September) is the best time to visit Bali. Although the rest of the year is humid, cloudy and stormy, you can still enjoy your holiday. There are also specific tourist seasons that can make obvious differences. During the summer holidays in Europe, the United States and Japan, travelers are the most, and July, August and early September are the peak seasons.

　　In these months, hotel rooms will be very tight and house prices will be higher. Many Australians arrive between Christmas and early January — — Flights are usually fully booked, and school holidays are also the peak season, especially in early April, late June to early July and late September.》》Bali travel guide

Bali accommodation

　　Before going to Bali, I heard the most description: "first-class hotels, second-class beaches and third-rate scenery". Therefore, choosing a good hotel is the most important step to Bali.

Several main accommodation areas in Bali

　　Nusa Dua Nusa Dua: The best and quietest beach in Bali, an island resort in the classic sense.

　　Kuta Kuta: Overtransit+Shopping and Dining+Nightlife

　　Ubud: The mountain forest style that other islands can hardly experience, and the most authentic Bali Villa experience are all here.

　Characteristic hotel: Some characteristic hotel/villas in Bali.

　　1) Ayana Resort & Spa Bali in Bali

　　Introduction: The five stars are on the other side, overlooking the white sand beach and the emerald-like Indian Ocean, and the beach is in front of the door.

　　Price: 1673- 7862

　　Hotel address: Jalan Karang Mas Sejahtera Jimbaran, Bali 80364, Indonesia.

　　The traveler said: Breakfast is super good. I basically finish it in the morning, and I’m not very hungry all day. wifi is charged. If it’s free, it’s invincible. Needless to say, the hotel environment is super good, and it’s also very big. It has its own beach and infinity pool, especially the one on the edge of the cliff. It’s great! I didn’t go to the bar. I basically came back late every day, so I didn’t go there. I just looked at it during the day! You should just stay in the hotel every day. Don’t go out to visit scenic spots. It’s boring to visit scenic spots. You should have a good rest in the sun at the hotel. If you go next time, you must stay a few more days and enjoy the sunshine in the hotel ~ swimming pool ~

2) The St. Regis Bali Resort.

　　Introduction: Five-star hotel, which provides free shuttle service to and from the airport.

　　Price: 3098- 8876 yuan/night

　　Hotel address: Kawasan Pariwisata, Nusa Dua • Lot S6, PO Box 44, Nusa Dua • Bali

　　The traveler said: My husband and I held a beautiful and romantic seaside wedding on the beach in J Hotel. The white gauze curtain decorated with roses and the blue sea water were extremely romantic! One night’s stay in the villa in front of the sea is a luxury! The bathtub is decorated with red and white rose petals to look like I love U. The oversized double bed is extremely comfortable! What a place to go!

　　Xinhua News Agency, Taipei, May 1st (Reporter Zhang Lixin, Shang Hao) On May 1st, on the Labor Day, the "May 1st Action Alliance", composed of trade unions and social organizations from various industries in Taiwan Province, held a labor parade on Ketagalan Avenue in front of the office of the leader of the Taiwan authorities, with "eight years of full administration and labor accounting as the main axis" to protest against the continuous deterioration of the labor environment caused by Democratic Progressive Party’s disregard for labor rights and interests since he took office.

　　“八年执政笑嗨嗨，劳工艰苦谁人管”“我要职场，不要战场”“我是劳工，不是奴工”……聚集在抗议现场的数千人高举标语，齐呼口号，表达对民进党当局无力解决民生困境，不能保障劳工利益的强烈不满。

　　记者在现场看到，游行民众来自台北、新北、云林、高雄、桃园、台南、苗栗等各县市，横跨医护、航空、银行、铁路、邮政、警消等各个行业。参与游行的团体包括台湾产业总工会、台湾高等教育产业工会、劳动人权协会等约50家。

　　参加此次游行的劳动党主席吴荣元对新华社记者表示，民进党执政以来，台湾社会经济环境不断恶化，通货膨胀持续加剧，遭遇最惨就是劳工大众。所以，此次游行的主要诉求，就是要求当局把保障劳工权益当作社会安全的大事来对待。

　　台湾产业总工会理事长江健兴表示，民进党执政以来，很多承诺如提高工资、处理劳保年金等都尚未落实，而台湾受雇人员报酬在GDP占比从曾经的50%，下滑到了2021年的43.03%，显见雇主获利的果实未和劳工分享。

　　"Two working hours to correct evil leads to the same overwork", "The problem of low salary continues, and the gap between the rich and the poor is too large", "Empty call for annuity reform, unable to implement the guarantee" and "Harvest the fruits of the epidemic and disappoint the grassroots contribution" … … These problems have become the main direction of public protests. The people interviewed generally said that Democratic Progressive Party, who had been in full power for seven years, had handed over a "report card" that made the workers extremely disappointed.

　　"Eggs have gone up in price, pork has gone up in price, and only the salary has not gone up! We must stand up and speak for the workers. " Luo Guoyong, a villager representative from Hukou Township, Hsinchu County, said.

　　"In recent years, the salaries of newly recruited young people in the company have not only failed to rise, but also regressed. Their plight needs to be heard." Geng Yuxiang, an employee representative of a water supply company, said.

　　"May 1 Action Alliance" expressed the hope that the Democratic Progressive Party authorities would face up to the aspirations of the broad masses of workers and put forward reform plans as soon as possible to improve the deteriorating working environment.

　　"The deterioration of Taiwan Province’s economic environment is mainly due to the Democratic Progressive Party authorities ‘ Relying on beauty for independence ’ Rising confrontation with the mainland has plunged the situation in the Taiwan Strait into ‘ The soldiers are fierce and dangerous ’ This has seriously damaged the foundation of Taiwan Province’s development and caused serious social security problems. Taiwan Province cannot improve people’s livelihood and build a stable employment environment without the peaceful and stable development of cross-strait relations. " Wu Rongyuan said.

　　The report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China clearly put forward the important task of "comprehensively promoting the modernization of military theory". To thoroughly study and understand the spirit of the important instructions of the Supreme Leader Chairman, we must deeply understand the great significance of promoting the modernization of military theory, give priority to the innovation of military theory, focus on building a modern military scientific research system, focus on building a team of high-quality military theory talents, and constantly consolidate the foundation of military theory modernization.
　　Deeply understand the significance of comprehensively promoting the modernization of military theory
　　The greater the era of great change, the more powerful theoretical support is needed. We should focus on realizing the Chinese dream of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation, take the party’s goal of strengthening the military in the new era as the guide, comprehensively promote the modernization of military theory, and provide scientific and powerful theoretical support for the practice of strengthening the military.
　　The backwardness of military theory will inevitably lead to passive beatings, which is a profound lesson of China’s modern history. In modern times, the world’s military has evolved from the era of cold weapons to the era of gunpowder, and the rise of western military culture, represented by On War, has led to great changes in the military field. However, China’s feudal dynasty was deeply immersed in the thinking concept of the era of cold weapons, believed in "riding and shooting-oriented", and did nothing to innovate military culture, which led to a war tragedy in which foreign guns were confronted with big swords and spears before foreign invasion. At present, the new military revolution in the world is developing rapidly, the war form is accelerating to evolve into an information war, and new advanced military theories are emerging one after another. The backwardness of military theories means that historical tragedies are likely to repeat themselves.
　　Paying attention to the development and application of military theory is an important magic weapon for our party to defeat the enemy. The first generation of leaders in the Communist Party of China (CPC), represented by Mao Zedong, focused on winning national independence and liberation, combined the universal truth of Marxism with the reality of China’s revolutionary war, put forward the way of building and managing the people’s army, invented the strategy and tactics of the people’s war, and formed Mao Zedong’s military ideological and theoretical system, which successfully made up for the deficiencies in weapons and equipment, logistics support, miraculously defeated the enemies at home and abroad armed to the teeth, and realized Chinese’s century-old dream of standing up. In the future, the main war opponents our army will face are very strong, and we must still base ourselves on defeating the strong with the weak, giving full play to the advantages of strategic planning and tactics, being flexible and flexible, and winning with cleverness and wisdom.
　　Accelerating the modernization of military theory is an urgent requirement put forward by current military practice. At present, our army is under the new system. How to further deepen the research on the innovation and development of the Party’s military guidance theory, how to promote the scale structure, policy system, integration of defense and civilian technologies and other follow-up reform tasks in an orderly manner, how to scientifically build a joint operational command system, how to innovate and develop tactics that are suitable for our army’s actual situation, how to build and improve the theater strategy and the development strategy of services and arms, how to prepare for maritime rights protection, anti-terrorism and stability, and how to push military forces out, and so on, are all in urgent need of scientific answers.
Vigorously promote the innovation of military theory
　　The great innovation of military theory in history often becomes the forerunner of military system reform. Whoever can put forward and apply advanced military theory first can seize the opportunity in the world military competition. This requires that the innovation of military theory should be taken as a breakthrough to comprehensively promote the modernization of military theory, vigorously carry forward the scientific spirit and the spirit of seeking truth, gather hundred schools of thought’s wisdom, understand the changes at all times and at home and abroad, and strive for the truth of war theory in the information age and the reality of national defense and army building practice.
　　Always adhere to the research direction of Marxist military theory. Adhere to the supreme leader’s thought of strengthening the army as the fundamental guidance, establish correct scientific research values and academic orientation, and promote the innovative development of military theory.
　　Pay close attention to the role of the new scientific and technological revolution theory. Grasp the great impetus of science and technology to the innovation of military theory, closely follow the development trend of the new round of scientific and technological revolution, recognize its huge value-added space of combat effectiveness, find theoretical growth points from it, foresee the changes of war characteristics as early as possible, seize the opportunity of military cognition and seize the highland of military theory.
　　Handle the relationship between basic research and practical research. It is necessary to do a solid job in basic theoretical research, so that the research results are profound, strategic and long-term. It is also necessary to strengthen the realistic orientation, adhere to the combination of research and application, adhere to the focus on winning, keep up with the evolution of modern war forms, and focus on exploring and studying the methods of warfare in the information age, so as to draw on the construction, training and management of our army and continuously improve the contribution rate of military theoretical innovation to the growth of combat effectiveness.
　　Handle the relationship between qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis. We not only pay attention to exploring military truth and revealing military laws through qualitative analysis methods such as induction and deduction and logical analysis, but also explore new scientific research modes supported by information technology, strengthen the application of experimental demonstration methods in subject research, and solve the problems of insufficient antagonism, lack of accuracy and low reliability of traditional military theoretical research through simulation, mathematical analysis and calculation and comparison.
　　Handle the relationship between individual tackling key problems and collaborative innovation. We should not only base ourselves on our own efforts, strengthen our foundation and give full play to the role of "small core", but also walk away from the new path of collaborative innovation, strengthen joint research with military commission organs, war zones, military forces and scientific research institutions of local colleges and universities, and accelerate the formation of an open, cooperative and win-win scientific research pattern.
　　Handle the relationship between learning from foreign troops and insisting on taking ourselves as the main factor. It is necessary to be a good scout and lookout at the forefront of military theoretical research, closely follow the latest trends of military powers such as the United States, Russia and Japan in the field of military theoretical research, and also adhere to the principle of promoting theoretical innovation based on ourselves, prevent "what you say is what you say is the US military", correct the practice of mechanically copying foreign military theoretical achievements regardless of our actual military, and create a military theoretical system that conforms to our actual situation and has our military characteristics.
　　Strive to promote the reform of military scientific research system and mechanism
　　The modernization of military theory is inseparable from the modernization of military scientific research system. At present, the shortcomings in the system and mechanism of military scientific research restrict and constrain the innovation of military scientific research. It is necessary to seize the favorable opportunity of deepening the reform of national defense and the army, improve the scientific military scientific research system and mechanism, get rid of the long-standing disadvantages that bind theoretical innovation, restore the spirit of learning from things and seeking true knowledge, and stimulate the vitality of scientific research and innovation.
　　Integrating the spirit of professional research into the construction of new military think tanks. Firmly establish a correct view of military scientific research and regard how many useful and valuable ideas have been put forward as the highest standard for military scientific research evaluation; Strengthen the spirit of independent research, not only books, not only books, but also facts; Strengthen professionalism, gather military experts from all sides, and put forward professional and operational countermeasures and suggestions.
　　Do a good job in military scientific research management around "who will manage, what and how to manage" Implement de-administration, establish lean scientific research institutions, and eliminate formalism and bureaucracy in scientific research management; Respect the law of scientific research, let the truly knowledgeable people engage in scientific research management, prevent laymen from leading experts, and reduce administrative intervention in scientific research; According to the demand-oriented, quality-oriented and transformation-oriented, we should do a good job in military project planning and design, and strengthen overall management, process control and quality supervision.
　　Solve the problem of academic knowledge with open thinking. In view of the problems existing in military scientific research, such as "no connection with the upper level, no connection with the lower level, and no knowledge of the outside world", we should walk away from the normal way of researchers going to the military commission organs and troops to exchange jobs and solve the problem of "no connection with the upper level and no connection with the lower level"; Get rid of the way of open scientific research, and solve the problem of "not knowing the outside world" by cultivating researchers’ ability of academic exchange with foreign countries and cooperating with local high-end think tanks.
　　Promoting military scientific research to go abroad with a broader world vision. Further open international horizons, actively participate in various international academic exchanges, and compete for academic discourse rights; Do a good job in academic exchange platforms such as Xiangshan Forum, actively voice in various fields of military science, show academic existence and enhance influence; Select outstanding researchers to study abroad and improve their ability to engage in international academic exchanges.
　　Do a good job in building a team of military theoretical talents
　　Talent is the foundation of strengthening the army and the foundation of modernization of military theory. At present, there are some problems in the military theoretical talent team of our army, such as uneven structure, low ability standard and weak professionalism. We should adapt to the urgent need of military theoretical research in the period of great change and do a good job in the construction of talent team.
　　Create a capable and professional team of innovative talents. Strictly control the entrance, and select talents who are sharp-minded, professional and solid, have a clear understanding of the world’s military and our army’s reality, and are well versed in the reform of Chinese and foreign military construction and combat methods into the military theoretical research team; Take the opportunity of reform, do a good job in the integrated allocation of human resources, and form professional complementarity and integration advantages; Formulate and implement a scientific talent incentive mechanism and resolutely break the scientific research pot.
　　Firmly establish the dominant position of researchers. Focus on giving full play to enthusiasm, initiative and innovation, strengthen the subjectivity of researchers, and build up the consciousness of serving scientific research in party committees and organs of scientific research institutes at all levels, so as to make military theoretical research a post with considerable professional requirements and value dignity.
　　Strengthen the spirit of learning and dedication. Military theoretical researchers should be familiar with classic military works and lay a solid foundation for theoretical research; Read more books on philosophy and social sciences to improve logical thinking ability; More quiet and indifferent, willing to sit on the bench for ten years, and study with the tenacity of grinding a sword for ten years, and give good ideas and big ideas for strengthening the army.

When it comes to Cyrus, I believe many netizens will think of asking the world. In fact, in addition to cooperating with Huawei, Cyrus also launched a new brand this year – Blue Electric. And the first model is Blue Electric E5, which starts at 139,900 yuan. So, how is the market performance of this new energy SUV?

The monthly sales are less than 1,000 units, and now the price reduction mode is open.

According to the data released by the Passenger Association, in October, the sales of blue electric E5 were 925 units. In September, August and July, the sales were 607 units, 390 units and 343 units respectively. From the market performance, the sales of this blue electric E5 under the Cyrus Group are relatively average.

Therefore, on November 16 not long ago, the blue power brand under Cyrus officially announced that the blue power E5 opened a limited-time discount. If you buy the blue power E5 enjoyment type, the cash will be reduced by 40,100, and the limited-time snap-up price will only be 99,800. So, after the significant price reduction, can you increase the sales of the blue power E5?

In this regard, I don’t feel optimistic. Because from a product perspective, the Blue Electric E5 doesn’t have many bright spots.

The first is the appearance. As a compact SUV, the Blue Electric E5 is not designed to give people the sense of class that similar models should have.

Especially on the front face, the large-size grille is used, and the interior is equipped with many dot matrix decorative elements. The design is rather complex and does not reflect the desired beauty.

Coming to the side, the design of the Blue Electric E5 is also relatively average. Although the body length reaches 4760mm, it does not give people a strong sense of advanced. In this regard, the editor would like to make a suggestion to Cyrus Automobile. In terms of new car design, it is still necessary to make more efforts and recruit some designers with international level to improve the aesthetics of the model.

Dynamic performance is moderate, equipped with plug-in system

As we all know, for new energy vehicles, power is a top priority for many consumers. The Blue Electric E5, as a plug-in hybrid SUV, is composed of a 1.5-liter engine and a motor in terms of power.

Among them, the engine part, the editor learned that the maximum power is 81 kilowatts. From the data, the performance is relatively average. And the electric motor part of the blue electric E5, the blue electric car said that the maximum power is 130 kilowatts. For other compact plug-in hybrid SUVs, the blue electric E5 power system does not show obvious advantages in terms of performance.

In terms of pure electric battery life, the blue electric E5 offers two battery capacity versions. Among them, the low-end model is equipped with a 17.52 kWh battery, and under the NEDC condition, the maximum pure electric battery life reaches 100 kilometers. While the high-end model is equipped with a 19.4 kWh battery, under the NEDC condition, the maximum pure electric battery life is 110 kilometers.

Judging from the pure electric battery life data, the performance of the blue electric E5 is not particularly outstanding. You know, the same level of zero-run C11 has a larger battery capacity, and the pure electric battery life can already reach more than 200 kilometers.

Cyrus has accumulated losses of nearly 10 billion yuan in the past 4 years

Thanks to the blessing of Huawei’s concept stocks, the editor learned that recently, the share price of Sailis Group has risen significantly, reaching a maximum of 99.97 yuan.

It is worth mentioning that not long ago, Cyrus released its October production and sales report. Data show that Cyrus Group’s October sales of new energy vehicles reached 17,600, a remarkable performance.

However, it should be noted that since cooperating with Huawei in 2019, the editor has learned that Cyrus has been losing money. According to public data, from 2020 to the first three quarters of this year, Cyrus’s cumulative net loss reached 9.679 billion yuan. From the perspective of loss, it is still quite amazing.

Write at the end: From the sales data, today’s Cyrus, compared to the first half of the year, has indeed improved significantly. However, it is worth noting that Huawei recently launched the second brand under the smart car model – Zhijie, the first model is Zhijie S7, the pre-sale price is 258,000 yuan. In the future, SUV models will also be launched. It is foreseeable that some of the sales of Wenjie brands will be diverted. And Cyrus’s own blue electric brand is currently difficult to take on the heavy responsibility of sales. The editor believes that the current Cyrus needs to improve its comprehensive competitiveness by increasing research and development and strengthening management.

near future

Influenza has attracted much attention.

How to prevent the flu

Heilongjiang province disease control center

Publish popular science

Influenza is an acute respiratory infectious disease caused by influenza virus, which seriously harms people’s health. The antigenicity of influenza virus is changeable and spreads rapidly, which can cause seasonal epidemic every year, and outbreaks can occur in schools, kindergartens and nursing homes. High-risk groups such as pregnant women, infants, the elderly and patients with chronic basic diseases have a higher risk of serious illness and death after suffering from influenza. Vaccination with influenza vaccine is an effective means to prevent influenza virus infection and its serious complications.

What is the pathogen that causes influenza?

The chief culprit of influenza is influenza virus, which belongs to orthomyxoviridae and is divided into four types: A, B, C and D (or A, B, C and D). At present, the viruses that cause seasonal influenza epidemic are H1N1 and H3N2 subtypes of influenza A virus and Victoria and Yamagata strains of influenza B virus. Among them, influenza A virus antigen is frequently mutated and highly contagious, which is the main culprit causing influenza epidemic.

How did we get the flu?

It is mainly transmitted by droplets produced when infected people talk, cough and sneeze, and may also be indirectly transmitted through contact with contaminated diet, tableware and towels. It may also spread through aerosols in crowded and poorly ventilated environments, which is highly contagious.

Influenza and the common cold

What’s the difference

The common cold is mainly sneezing, stuffy nose, runny nose and cough, while the flu has serious systemic symptoms. When the body has the following characteristics, it is suspected that it is the flu rather than the common cold: the high fever is obvious (38.9~40℃), and the body temperature rises rapidly in a short time; Pain is obvious (headache, sore throat, muscle ache); Fatigue is obvious; Severe cough is obvious.

Some people think that the flu is also a "big cold", which is no big deal. The common cold rarely has complications, while the flu is prone to complications such as pneumonia, myocarditis and encephalitis. For children, we should be especially alert to acute necrotizing encephalopathy. Once this serious complication occurs, the mortality rate is high. Generally speaking, children under 5 years old and patients with chronic basic diseases have a higher risk of serious illness.

Who is prone to the flu?

Most people are self-limited after influenza, but some people are at higher risk of serious complications after infection, including the elderly over 60 years old, children under 5 years old, pregnant women and patients with basic diseases.

Why do children

More susceptible to influenza

The reasons may be as follows:

(1) Schools and kindergartens are collective places, where children gather and have close contact. Once there are flu cases, it will easily lead to the spread of the disease and more cases;

(2) Children are naturally infected with influenza virus or have little vaccination, and their pre-existing immunity is weak, so their cross-protection effect on influenza virus is weak;

(3) Children’s own respiratory tract may be less developed than that of adults, and their own immune system is in a developing state, so they are vulnerable to respiratory viruses such as influenza and have symptoms.

What is the age of influenza vaccination?

How many shots do you need?

Children and adults over 3 years old are vaccinated with 1 injection; Children from 6 months to 3 years old were vaccinated with 2 injections. Please read the informed consent form of vaccination carefully before vaccination.

I was vaccinated against influenza last year.

Do you want to fight again this year?

Vaccination against influenza is the most economical and effective means to prevent influenza. The antibody level brought by influenza vaccine gradually decreased after 6 to 8 months, and the influenza virus was mutating every year. Every year, WHO will recommend the composition of influenza vaccine for the next season according to the epidemic situation, so that the composition of influenza vaccine may be different from that of the previous year. So, don’t be afraid of trouble. I got the flu vaccine last year, and I still have to get it this year.

Tuan Tuan reminds everyone

Recently, influenza has occurred frequently.

Wear a mask and take precautions.

Original title: "The Latest Release of Heilongjiang CDC"

Read the original text

The "durian blind box" with a brush screen has taught many people the secret of picking durian, but people hesitate for a long time in the rising and falling prices, for fear that they will be copied halfway up the mountain like buying stocks and funds in the past.

Author | Xiaoyang

Edit | Lu Yiming

Title map | Figure worm creativity

Durian in Thailand, durian in Vietnam, durian in Hainan … In June, various varieties of "durian blind box" began to be listed on a large scale.

However, after a catty of durian is shelled, the edible durian meat will be 342 at most. If you want to eat a catty of golden pillow durian meat, you will have to spend at least hundreds of dollars.

Therefore, in order to choose the "rewarding durian" with thin skin and much meat, many durian lovers follow the online raiders and practice hard. Those who haven’t learned it have also found the "cheating artifact" and borrowed the subway security equipment to count how many rooms durian has.

In order to find "repay the durian", netizens have gone crazy. (Photo/Little Red Book @ Yang Yang or Yang Yang)

Everything is ready, just waiting for the price of durian to come down. At this critical moment, the topic of "durian is expensive" has frequently rushed to hot search.

Looking back at the end of April, durian came into the market in summer, and it was still a clever look. At that time, the hot search was that "the wholesale price of durian dropped to 20 yuan by 1 kg". By the end of May, the national average price of durian exceeded 45 yuan/kg, and a Thai golden pillow durian cost more than 200 pieces. In June, the price of "King of Fruits" dropped slightly, but it still failed to meet the expectations of netizens.

In mid-June, the first batch of Hainan durians will be listed soon. Is it expected to bring down the price? With the arrival of summer, durian matures in large quantities. Do we have a chance to realize "durian freedom"?

"I haven’t found the durian,

I was first retaliated by the price of durian. "

From May to August every year, a large number of durians will be mature and listed. According to the law of previous years, the price of durian will fall after the May Day holiday, but this year it is "abnormal".

According to official website of Guangzhou Jiangnan Fruit and Vegetable Wholesale Market, the wholesale price of imported durian hovered at 23 yuan/kg at the beginning of May this year, and then the price rose instead of falling. On May 17th, it broke through the average price of 25 yuan per catty, and continued to approach 30 yuan on May 29th, reaching 29.7 yuan/catty, with a monthly increase of about 30%.

In June, the wholesale price of imported durian dropped from a high level to the level of about 25 yuan per catty, but it has not yet fallen to the price of a month ago. According to China News Network, the wholesale price of durian imported from China in 2014 and 2015 can be as low as 9.9 yuan per catty.

From May 1st to June 7th, the wholesale price trend of imported durian. (Photo/Xiaoyang)

Why is the price of durian so abnormal this year? Some people say that after Simba sold durian live, the price of durian rose from more than 20 pieces to more than 30 pieces, pointing out that the price of durian was "Simba hit it by himself". Later, the Guangzhou General Administration of Market Supervision came out to refute the rumor, saying that there was no evidence that Simba monopolized the market.

According to the statistics of China Customs, in 2022, the total import volume of durian in China was 825,000 tons, of which 780,000 tons came from Thailand. Simba’s live durian sales volume is about 4,800 tons, which is only equivalent to 0.61% of Thailand’s durian imports in the whole year.

Online celebrity can sell durian, but it is not enough to shake the price of durian. (Photo/@ Lucky Little Curly)

What really drives the price of durian is not a few online celebrity, but the invisible hand of the market.

The price of durian fluctuates obviously with the season. Thailand’s golden pillow producing areas are distributed in eastern and southern Thailand. At the beginning of this year, the durian season in eastern Thailand started one month earlier than before, and ended earlier accordingly. By mid-May, it had reached the end of the durian season. The production season in southern Thailand will not start until the middle and early June. The time difference between the two real estate seasons also led to a small supply of gold pillows in Thailand in May and a high purchase price.

There is no supply of origin there, but the demand here is rising all the way. As early as before Simba’s live broadcast, durian had already become a traffic password, camped in the hearts of foodies, and its value rose.

Many new durian controllers said that the happiest thing is not to eat durian, but to open durian. "The family who understand, open to repay durian! There are actually 6 rooms of pulp! " After gambling on stones and opening pearl mussels, "opening durian blind box" has also become a short video content of explosion.

According to the observation of DT Finance, the number of Tik Tok topics # Surprise of peeling durian by hand # reached 540 million, and # It’s the season of opening durian blind box # reached 430 million. Xiaohongshu’s notes related to "durian blind box" reached 11,700 in the past month.

Whether it is a big "reward durian" or a small "revenge durian" comparable to durian sugar, it is presented in an instant when the box is opened. (Photo/@ Little Red Book)

Netizen @ A durian tree can accurately predict the growth of pulp before opening durian every time. She also invented cute and cute words such as "cream sharp", "abdominal muscle grain" and "pyramid dull" to refine the formula for picking durian.

Netizens have come up with the strength to prepare for the college entrance examination, and handed in their homework to the "durian tree teacher" from a distance. Every time durian is opened, those "schoolmasters" will also calculate the fruit rate and the gains and losses of durian selection.

After listening to the "cream tip", I found that every thorn of durian is full of personality. (Figure/@ A durian tree)

There are advertisements implanted in short videos, and durians are sold in live broadcasts. In recent years, there are also special offline durian family time and durian theme snack bars. The more familiar you are, the more you will like it, which is called "seeing more" in psychology. With the ubiquity of durian marketing, the domestic durian consumer market is growing rapidly.

According to the statistics of China Customs, from January to March 2023, the import of fresh durian in China was 91,400 tons, up about 154% year-on-year. In the first quarter of this year, 22.2 million durians entered the China market. Durian has a good chance to crush cherries again and win the top spot in China’s imported fruits.

Why is durian always so expensive?

After learning to pick durian, the only thing that prevents netizens from eating this delicious one is the high price.

The good news is that in June, the first batch of Hainan durians will be mature and listed, and durians in southern Thailand and Vietnam will also enter the peak season simultaneously, and the fresh fruit durians in the three places will be positive. With the increase of supply, the average price of durian in the first week of June has dropped from the end of May.

The not-so-good news is that the price of durian can’t fall to the level of 9 yuan and 9 yuan.

About 96% of durian eaten in China is imported from Thailand. Since durian depends on imports, transportation costs will naturally be added to the planting cost. Durian from Thailand will be picked when it is 78% mature, and it will gradually mature on the way to China.

Thai durian has to be picked before it is ripe. (Figure/Figure Worm Creativity)

If the transportation time is long or the picking time is not properly handled, durian will open its mouth in advance when it arrives in the hands of consumers in China, and the bad fruit rate is not a small cost.

Since everyone loves durian, why don’t we plant some durian ourselves? It’s not that I don’t want to, but that it’s more difficult.

Half a century ago, Hainan introduced the seedlings of durian with golden pillow, and planned to cultivate them locally. Unfortunately, the domestic durian with stable mass production and good flavor has not been harvested.

Durian is very picky about the planting environment. Durian trees love hot and humid weather, and can grow trees and blossom in Dongguan, Guangdong, but the temperature is very strict in the fruiting season, and it is difficult to stabilize the fruit in Wanning, Hainan.

Even in Southeast Asia, the yield of durian is related to the weather in the first phase. It rains when flowering, which affects pollination; As a result, it was difficult to pick when it was flooded. Unstable output will also cause price fluctuations.

Durian needs careful care from flowering to fruiting. (Photo/Wikipedia)

Now that durian is born in Hainan, can you beat down the price?

First of all, if you want to beat the price of durian, the young Hainan durian is not strong enough. Domestic durians in Hainan have been listed from the end of June to August, but ordinary consumers may not be able to buy domestic durians.

At present, durian trees in Hainan are still young trees, and the results are not too many. Our country consumes 700,000 tons of durian a year. This year, the output of durian in Hainan is expected to be less than 1,000 tons, which is not enough for the national "durian control".

In an interview with the media, durian growers in Hainan revealed that their varieties include golden pillow, black thorn, Maoshanwang, etc., and the initial price is 50 yuan a catty.

In addition, these new fruits also shoulder the heavy responsibility of opening up the market. Some of them will go to potential wholesale agents, while others will stay in orchards to entertain tourists.

I used to eat durian in Southeast Asia. Will it be popular to open durian in Hainan in the future? (Photo/Fruit Biography)

Secondly, because it is imported fruit, the domestic pricing power of durian price is mainly in the hands of large wholesalers. The bargaining power of some Internet fresh-keeping platforms is ok, and they can get lower purchase prices, but after the brand premium, it is not necessarily cheap in the hands of consumers.

Small wholesalers have no bargaining power, and neither do small and medium-sized fruit shops. Ordinary people buying durian is like opening a blind box; Small fruit merchants sell durian, just like betting on size. Considering the high wholesale price and the deterioration of durian mouth, many small fruit shops are afraid to purchase.

Looking back on 2021, durian fruit merchants earned money by luck in the first half of the year, and lost it in the second half of the year, and sold it for a lonely year. Of course, many other expensive fruit transactions are also played by heartbeat.

The most important thing is the rising willingness to consume. From 2017 to 2022, the number of durian imported from Thailand in China increased fourfold.

The total import of durian in China is increasing year by year. (Photo/Ruiku Research Center)

Since 2016, the market demand of durian in China has been increasing rapidly. According to industry estimates, at that time, the sales of the whole fruit industry in China increased at an annual rate of 9%, while durian increased at a rate of 20% to 30%.

The purchasing price of durian in Thailand has soared together with the market demand in China. In 2013, the purchase price of a catty of durian in Thailand was about RMB 5 yuan. In 2017, the price of durian in Thailand soared to 30 yuan.

This rise, the price has never come down, has been maintained at 13-15 yuan per catty. This is only the purchase price of durian in Thailand, and it will double when it enters China’s retail market. In 2021, the purchasing price of durian in Thailand is in 17 yuan per catty, and the retail price can reach more than 50 yuan per catty.

If you really want to find out the behind-the-scenes pusher of durian’s rise, I am afraid it can only be all domestic foodies who have been fascinated by durian.

Durian freedom,

How can it be achieved?

In fact, behind every durian, there are a group of people who struggle for "durian freedom".

They build and operate transnational railways to make every durian fresher. According to CCTV, since the opening of China-Laos Railway in April this year, the time for transporting durian from Thailand to China has been greatly shortened, reaching Kunming in three days, which is about half of that by sea or truck.

The "Durian Train" from Madapu Station in Thailand to Guangzhou in China broke the fastest record of transporting fruit from Thailand to China, and the loss of fresh fruit caused by long-term transportation was also greatly reduced. Although the price of durian has been repeated in May, the decline in the cost of durian in Thailand is an irreversible trend.

Sitting in China-Laos Railway or a direct cargo ship, durian came. (Figure/Figure Worm Creativity)

In addition to speeding up land transportation, sea durian is also smoother. Guangzhou Nansha Port has 15 direct flights to Thailand durian every week, and it takes only 4 days for fresh durian to be transported from Linchaban Port in Thailand to Nansha Port.

According to the report of Guangzhou Daily, the price of durian will be more than 20% cheaper than that of Shangchao market because the intermediate logistics and distribution links are omitted and the goods are picked up directly next to the cargo ship in Nansha Port.

They talk about trade cooperation with Southeast Asian countries so that Chinese people can eat durian all year round. In addition to the familiar Thai gold pillows, Ganyao imported from Vietnam was also available in the domestic market in May.

From July, 2022, China allowed Vietnamese fresh durian to be imported. This is the result of four years of negotiations between China and Vietnam, during which hundreds of local plantations were organized to study durian in order to meet the food standards of China.

Viet Nam is adjacent to the border with China, and the transportation distance is shorter. From the durian producing area in Vietnam to Kunming in China, it can be delivered in one and a half days at the earliest, which greatly reduces the transportation cost and loss. Therefore, the price of durian in Vietnam is cheaper than that of durian in Thailand, which can better satisfy friends who love durian but have little budget.

According to the statistics of Vietnam’s agricultural department, the total export of durian in Vietnam in 2022 was close to US$ 400 million, of which US$ 300 million came from the wallets of China consumers.

Since last year, Vietnamese durian has also come to China. (Figure/Figure Worm Creativity)

Following Viet Nam, Philippine durian also knocked on the door of China market. At the beginning of April this year, the first batch of Philippine durians arrived in Shanghai by plane, officially starting the trip of Philippine fresh durians to China. It is reported that the import of frozen durian from Cambodia is also being actively tested.

With the increase of durian import sources, it will not only fill the gap of durian peak season in different places, but also ensure that consumers in China can "durian return" all year round, and introduce more competitors, which is expected to lower the price of durian in the near future.

Although the yield of durian made in Hainan is not high at present, the prospect is bright. Hainan durian is expected to become a kind of "ripe durian on the tree", which saves the complexity of transnational transportation and is fresher than durian imported from Southeast Asia.

According to experts’ estimation of fruit planting in Hainan, durian in Hainan will grow to 100,000 mu in three to five years, and the price is expected to stabilize at more than 10 yuan per catty when it reaches "350,000 mu".

The era of cheap durian may be in the near future.

Proofreading: Yang Chao, operation: Lu Zirui, typesetting: Qiu Meiru

[1] Imported durian overtook cherries, and the fruit "Top Flow" competition became more intense. First Financial News, 20230423.

[2] Does Simba bring goods to increase the price of durian? Durian wholesaler: influential, but not the main reason, interface news, 20230512

[3] The wholesale price of durian has dropped to more than 20 yuan per catty. Can it be reduced to the previous 9.9 yuan? , China News Network, 20230509

[4] The first batch of Hainan durians went on the market in June. How far are we from realizing "durian freedom"? , Xin Nong Ming, 20230525

[5] How to find a watermelon to repay? Guide to eating melons scientifically, Li Li Li, 20220813

[6] Open the durian blind box, a new type of scratch music for young people, DT Finance, 20230528.

Original title: "King of Fruit in online celebrity, I feel expensive when I smell it."

Read the original text

Today, Xiaomi announced the New North lap speed of the Ultra prototype-6 minutes 46 seconds 874, making it the fastest four-door car in New North at present.

The climate of New North Circuit was rainy, and this test also encountered many difficulties. Weibo of Lei Jun shared some nodes, and all the scheduled two-day test was rainy. Later, after many parties coordinated, it was officially tested on October 28th, and obtained the official certification lap speed.

Some people may not know what level the lap speed of Xiaomi SU7 Ultra is in the ring of truth. Let’s find a lap speed ranking and find out what kind of monsters can run in 6 minutes and 50 seconds. It is not controversial to say that it is the fastest four-door car.

GO Chejun Comments: There is a huge difference between Xiaomi SU7 Ultra and the ordinary version of Xiaomi SU7, and the price should not be acceptable to ordinary people. For reference, the guide price of Krypton 001 FR is 769,000 yuan. Guess how much Xiaomi SU7 Ultra will sell?